Crab-Apple and Cramazon

dimanche 26 janvier 2014

Apple, Amazon and Google are big earnings reports next week



I sit here sometimes and wonder what others are doing this weekend and thinking..........................



1. They were probably a little blindsided



2. They have some big big big long term gains, that can get cut quickly



3. Are they really thinking, hmmmmmmm, what can I buy next week, or more likely what do I sell if it gets bad?



4. What good news COULD HAPPEN, and what would it's effects on markets be?



5. What is the compelling reason to put money to WORK RIGHT NOW?





This action reminds me a little of 2000 and going into 2001, 2000 was a fantastic year, nasdaq up like 120%, recency effect bias, most recent thing is most emotional, ie, huge gains, gotta stick with it............and the high tick was on feb 17th, and that was all she wrote for 2.5 years



The balloon, was a combo of fed printing money, lowering rates supporting markets worried about y2k, and the reality was people did upgrade there putters so it was huge growth in sales, but it was a one time thing and poof gone



2013 Fed huge increased money printing, and companies on huge buy back there own stock, they invested more money in buying there own stock than capital expenditures on there own business..............guess what..........THAT'S A ONE TIME THING





Oil is kind of holding steady but oil company stocks are getting rocked bad, that was one of my predications, oil going down...............which to many signals slowdown in economy...................



RED LIGHT OF CAUTION IS ON



this is a probability.................Bears are in control, they haven't made money in so long, if the market were to sell off hard.........quickly in a several day time span, there would be a huge short covering rally...............then market pundits would sing all is well, growth is coming growth is coming, then it's on the bears to see how much control do they have



A quick 10-15% correction, remember we're only at 3%, would mean febuary is bloodddddyyyyyyyyyyyyy as hell, and then a huge short covering rally would happen, meaning big 401k money coming first week of april has to, u guessed, buy higher................



BEST GUESS...........SHITS GONNA GET NASTY FOR A BIT............THEN SCHITZSOID............AND WE SHOULD TURN UP FROM THERE...........People have made too much money, they will risk it, things are not bad enough to go kableweeeeeyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy




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