I am wondering what the consensus is on how people create the New York 7 scenarios. A colleague and I discovered recently that we were doing it differently.
For example,
NY 7 Scenario 3
Increase of 100bps to the interest rate curve at the 1st month of each anniversary over 5 years, then decrease of 100bps to the interest rate curve at the 1st month of each anniversary to the original level at the end of the 10 years and then level;
Assume interest rates stay constant between each anniversary.
If the initial value is 2%, does that mean:
months 1-12: 3%
months 13-24: 4%
months 25-36: 5%
months 27-48: 6%
months 49-60: 7%
months 61-72: 6%
months 73-84: 5%
months 85-96: 4%
months 97-108: 3%
months 109-120: 2%
months 121+: 2%
or does it mean:
months 1-12: 2%
months 13-24: 3%
months 25-36: 4%
months 27-48: 5%
months 49-60: 6%
months 61-72: 7%
months 73-84: 6%
months 85-96: 5%
months 97-108: 4%
months 109-120: 3%
months 121+: 2%
For example,
NY 7 Scenario 3
Increase of 100bps to the interest rate curve at the 1st month of each anniversary over 5 years, then decrease of 100bps to the interest rate curve at the 1st month of each anniversary to the original level at the end of the 10 years and then level;
Assume interest rates stay constant between each anniversary.
If the initial value is 2%, does that mean:
months 1-12: 3%
months 13-24: 4%
months 25-36: 5%
months 27-48: 6%
months 49-60: 7%
months 61-72: 6%
months 73-84: 5%
months 85-96: 4%
months 97-108: 3%
months 109-120: 2%
months 121+: 2%
or does it mean:
months 1-12: 2%
months 13-24: 3%
months 25-36: 4%
months 27-48: 5%
months 49-60: 6%
months 61-72: 7%
months 73-84: 6%
months 85-96: 5%
months 97-108: 4%
months 109-120: 3%
months 121+: 2%
Creating the New York Seven scenarios